New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? live odds

51%

implied probability

YES 51¢NO 50¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$90

24h volume

$749K

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±30¢ swing band

    32d ago
  • Odds swing

    50¢ → 22¢ (-28¢ in 15 min)

    32d ago
  • High volatility

    ±51.7¢ swing band

    32d ago
  • Odds swing

    22¢ → 87¢ (+65¢ in 15 min)

    32d ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.3¢ swing band

    32d ago
  • Odds swing

    66¢ → 88¢ (+22¢ in 15 min)

    32d ago
  • High volatility

    ±12.7¢ swing band

    32d ago
  • Odds swing

    72¢ → 88¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)

    32d ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.9¢ swing band

    32d ago
  • Odds swing

    62¢ → 87¢ (+25¢ in 15 min)

    32d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?"?

The market currently prices YES at 51¢ and NO at 50¢, an implied probability of 51% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$749K has been traded in total, $90 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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