No one announced as next James Bond? — live odds

Part of Next James Bond actor?· see all 23 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"No one announced as next James Bond?" is trading at a 21% implied probability, with YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢. $254K has changed hands so far, $15K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

21%

implied probability

YES 21¢NO 79¢

recent price

-4¢ over the window

-4¢

24h change

$15K

24h volume

$254K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±31.8¢ swing band
2m ago
Volume spike
$264 traded — 21.9× the average
13m ago
High volatility
±4.7¢ swing band
17m ago
Odds swing
28¢ → 18¢ (-10¢ in 15 min)
17m ago
Odds swing
32¢ → 21¢ (-10.3¢ in 15 min)
47m ago
High volatility
±27.4¢ swing band
2h ago
Volume spike
$80 traded — 6.7× the average
2h ago
High volatility
±19.3¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±58.1¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
31¢ → 99¢ (+67.7¢ in 15 min)
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.