No one announced as next James Bond? — live odds

Part of Next James Bond actor?· see all 24 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"No one announced as next James Bond?" is trading at a 24% implied probability, with YES at 24¢ and NO at 76¢. $561K has changed hands so far, $2K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

24%

implied probability

YES 24¢NO 76¢

recent price

-25¢ over the window

-25¢

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$561K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±45.1¢ swing band
13m ago
High volatility
±6.5¢ swing band
29m ago
Odds swing
22¢ → 49¢ (+27.1¢ in 15 min)
29m ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 26¢ (-24¢ in 15 min)
44m ago
Volume spike
$584 traded — 2044.2× the average
55m ago
High volatility
±11.1¢ swing band
59m ago
High volatility
±31.4¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±6.9¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±9.2¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
48¢ → 22¢ (-26.5¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.