Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?" is trading at a 16% implied probability, with YES at 16¢ and NO at 84¢. $2.1M has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

16%

implied probability

YES 16¢NO 84¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$2.1M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±36.6¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 1¢ (-12¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±13.5¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±5.1¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±8.9¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 2¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 1¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±19.6¢ swing band
5h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.03¢ vs 0.01¢ normal
8h ago
High volatility
±6.9¢ swing band
9h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".