SSI public model released by August 31, 2026? final odds

Resolved NO · September 1, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?" resolved NO on September 1, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $40K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

1%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$40K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Quick answers

How did "SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on September 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$40K was traded over the market's lifetime.

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