Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — live odds

Part of Largest Company end of July?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

6%

implied probability

YES 6¢NO 94¢

recent price

-74¢ over the window

-74¢

24h change

$30K

24h volume

$340K

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Volume spike

    $90 traded — 3.8× the average

    5m ago

  • High volatility

    ±12¢ swing band

    8m ago

  • Odds swing

    80¢ → 50¢ (-30¢ in 15 min)

    8m ago

  • High volatility

    ±40.3¢ swing band

    24m ago

  • Odds swing

    91¢ → 6¢ (-85.3¢ in 15 min)

    24m ago

  • Volume spike

    $200 traded — 8.4× the average

    25m ago

  • High volatility

    ±12.2¢ swing band

    39m ago

  • Odds swing

    35¢ → 92¢ (+57¢ in 15 min)

    39m ago

  • High volatility

    ±6.5¢ swing band

    54m ago

  • High volatility

    ±12.4¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?"?

The market currently prices YES at 6¢ and NO at 94¢, an implied probability of 6% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$340K has been traded in total, $30K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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