Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 31, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?" resolved NO on August 31, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $178K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

—

24h change

$11K

24h volume

$178K

total volume

Aug 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±36.9¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 87¢ (+86.3¢ in 15 min)
5h ago
High volatility
±30.7¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 70¢ (+69.3¢ in 15 min)
5h ago
High volatility
±29.5¢ swing band
6h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 70¢ (+69.3¢ in 15 min)
6h ago
High volatility
±20.1¢ swing band
6h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 70¢ (+69.4¢ in 15 min)
6h ago
High volatility
±20¢ swing band
6h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 70¢ (+69.9¢ in 15 min)
6h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

How did "Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 31, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.