Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? — live odds
"Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?" is trading at a 22% implied probability, with YES at 22¢ and NO at 79¢. $84K has changed hands so far, $18 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2030. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.
22%
implied probability
recent price
-6¢ over the window
-6¢
24h change
$18
24h volume
$84K
total volume
Jan 1, 2030
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?"?
The market currently prices YES at 22¢ and NO at 79¢, an implied probability of 22% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2030.
How much has been traded on this market?
$84K has been traded in total, $18 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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