
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? — final odds
"Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?" resolved YES on September 1, 2026 at a final price of 96¢ YES — a 96% implied probability — after $35K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
96%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$954
24h volume
$35K
total volume
Sep 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 25d ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 96¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 85¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 88¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 85¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±4.8¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 85¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±4.8¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 85¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 85¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Quick answers
How did "Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?" resolve?
This market resolved YES on September 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 96¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 96¢ — an implied probability of 96%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$35K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Tech markets
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
4%
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
15%
AI bubble burst in 2026?
8%
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
14%
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
10%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
78%