
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? — live odds
"Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $45K has changed hands so far, $419 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.
1%
implied probability
recent price
+1¢ over the window
+1¢
24h change
$419
24h volume
$45K
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?"?
The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$45K has been traded in total, $419 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Tech markets
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
4%
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
13%
AI bubble burst in 2026?
11%
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
14%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
74%
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
8%