Event odds table

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap — live odds
10 outcomes$716K traded$24K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
Live Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap odds: 's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day leads the field at 24% implied probability, ahead of 's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day (22%) and 's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day (20%). All 10 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $716K traded ($24K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day 24%
implied probability (24¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 10
1's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day
24%24¢ · $9K 24h2's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day
22%22¢ · $336 24h3's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day
20%20¢ · $5K 24h4's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day
15%15¢ · $313 24h5's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day
8%8¢ · $4K 24h6's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day
8%8¢ · $976 24h7's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day
4%4¢ · $379 24h8's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day
3%3¢ · $3K 24h9's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day
2%1¢ · $965 24h10not IPO by December 31, 2027
1%1¢ · $519 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap?
- The market currently favors 's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day at 24% implied probability (YES trading at 24¢).
- How much has been traded on Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap?
- $716K has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $24K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.