Event odds table

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap — live odds
10 outcomes$2.5M traded$109K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2028
Live Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap odds: 's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day leads the field at 30% implied probability, ahead of 's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day (24%) and 's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day (17%). All 10 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.5M traded ($109K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day 30%
implied probability (30¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 10
1's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day
30%30¢ · $36K 24h2's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day
24%24¢ · $25K 24h3's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day
17%17¢ · $4K 24h4's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day
12%12¢ · $5K 24h5's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day
7%7¢ · $10K 24h6's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day
3%3¢ · $9K 24h7's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day
3%3¢ · $8K 24h8's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day
2%2¢ · $2K 24h9not IPO by December 31, 2027
2%2¢ · $6K 24h10's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day
2%2¢ · $4K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap?
- The market currently favors 's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day at 30% implied probability (YES trading at 30¢).
- How much has been traded on Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap?
- $2.5M has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $109K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.