Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? — live odds

Part of In which month will Anthropic IPO?· see all 16 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?" is trading at a 20% implied probability, with YES at 20¢ and NO at 80¢. $48K has changed hands so far, $57 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.

20%

implied probability

YES 20¢NO 80¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

$57

24h volume

$48K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±29.7¢ swing band
41d ago
High volatility
±50.3¢ swing band
41d ago
Odds swing
11¢ → 1¢ (-10.3¢ in 15 min)
41d ago
High volatility
±18.3¢ swing band
41d ago
Odds swing
11¢ → 70¢ (+58.6¢ in 15 min)
41d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.