Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? — final odds

Resolved NO · September 9, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

Part of Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?· see all 5 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?" resolved NO on September 9, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $52K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$37K

24h volume

$52K

total volume

Sep 9, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on September 9, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.