Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? — final odds

This market has ended · September 1, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?" resolved on September 1, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $889K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

24h volume

$889K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±63.6¢ swing band
16d ago
High volatility
±41.9¢ swing band
16d ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 0¢ (-16.9¢ in 15 min)
16d ago
High volatility
±45.2¢ swing band
16d ago
High volatility
±27.9¢ swing band
16d ago
High volatility
±27.2¢ swing band
17d ago
Odds swing
93¢ → 2¢ (-91.3¢ in 15 min)
17d ago
High volatility
±23.1¢ swing band
17d ago
High volatility
±16.1¢ swing band
17d ago
Odds swing
83¢ → 92¢ (+9.1¢ in 15 min)
17d ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?" resolve?

This market ended on September 1, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.