Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in July?· see all 20 outcomes →📲 Open in app

14%

implied probability

YES 14¢NO 86¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$45K

24h volume

$440K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
16¢ → 1¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)
2m ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 10¢ (-88.5¢ in 15 min)
33m ago
Volume spike
$364 traded — 11.5× the average
1h ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 1¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Volume spike
$1,588 traded — 50.2× the average
1h ago
Volume spike
$100 traded — 3.4× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$294 traded — 9.9× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$400 traded — 13.4× the average
2h ago
Odds swing
11¢ → 2¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Volume spike
$217 traded — 7.1× the average
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.