Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in August?· see all 20 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?" is trading at a 83% implied probability, with YES at 83¢ and NO at 17¢. $179K has changed hands so far, $36K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

83%

implied probability

YES 83¢NO 17¢

recent price

+8¢ over the window

+8¢

24h change

$36K

24h volume

$179K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$785 traded — 28.9× the average
5m ago
High volatility
±11.6¢ swing band
18m ago
Odds swing
92¢ → 84¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)
18m ago
Odds swing
24¢ → 77¢ (+53¢ in 15 min)
33m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 79¢ (-20¢ in 15 min)
48m ago
Volume spike
$100 traded — 3.8× the average
49m ago
High volatility
±12.4¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
77¢ → 98¢ (+21¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Volume spike
$249 traded — 14× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±4.7¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.