Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? — live odds

Part of Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner· see all 7 outcomes →📲 Open in app

96%

implied probability

YES 96¢NO 4¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$90

24h volume

$163K

total volume

Aug 18, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±17.2¢ swing band
33d ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 91¢ (+70¢ in 15 min)
33d ago
High volatility
±10.1¢ swing band
33d ago
Odds swing
23¢ → 30¢ (+7¢ in 15 min)
33d ago
High volatility
±14.8¢ swing band
33d ago
High volatility
±21.4¢ swing band
33d ago
High volatility
±12.5¢ swing band
33d ago
High volatility
±17.9¢ swing band
34d ago
Odds swing
64¢ → 30¢ (-34¢ in 15 min)
34d ago
High volatility
±27.8¢ swing band
34d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.