Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July? live odds

0%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$10K

24h volume

$245K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±51¢ swing band

    6m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 1¢ (-99.1¢ in 15 min)

    6m ago
  • High volatility

    ±42.3¢ swing band

    21m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 1¢ (-99.1¢ in 15 min)

    21m ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.5¢ swing band

    36m ago
  • High volatility

    ±51.1¢ swing band

    57m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 100¢ (+99.1¢ in 15 min)

    57m ago
  • High volatility

    ±51.1¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 100¢ (+99.2¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.5¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?"?

The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$245K has been traded in total, $10K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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