
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? — live odds
1%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$196K
24h volume
$355K
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 11m ago
High volatility
±50.4¢ swing band
- 11m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 99¢ (+98¢ in 15 min)
- 27m ago
High volatility
±50.4¢ swing band
- 27m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 99¢ (+98¢ in 15 min)
- 43m ago
High volatility
±29¢ swing band
- 43m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 14¢ (-85¢ in 15 min)
- 59m ago
High volatility
±41.8¢ swing band
- 59m ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 99¢ (+21¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±76¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
18¢ → 1¢ (-17¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$355K has been traded in total, $196K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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