Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? live odds

0%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

-76¢ over the window

-76¢

24h change

$5K

24h volume

$1.5M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±12.7¢ swing band

    1m ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 75¢ (+74.6¢ in 15 min)

    1m ago
  • High volatility

    ±57.1¢ swing band

    16m ago
  • Odds swing

    76¢ → 0¢ (-75.6¢ in 15 min)

    16m ago
  • High volatility

    ±31.5¢ swing band

    32m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 0¢ (-99.4¢ in 15 min)

    32m ago
  • High volatility

    ±47.5¢ swing band

    47m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 0¢ (-99.4¢ in 15 min)

    47m ago
  • High volatility

    ±22.4¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    75¢ → 44¢ (-31.5¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$1.5M has been traded in total, $5K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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