Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? live odds

98%

implied probability

YES 98¢NO

recent price

+96¢ over the window

+96¢

24h change

$4K

24h volume

$148K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±24.1¢ swing band

    11m ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 5¢ (-92.7¢ in 15 min)

    11m ago
  • High volatility

    ±41.3¢ swing band

    42m ago
  • Odds swing

    4¢ → 98¢ (+94.2¢ in 15 min)

    42m ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 17¢ (-81¢ in 15 min)

    58m ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 3¢ (-94.6¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    5¢ → 98¢ (+93.2¢ in 15 min)

    4h ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 2¢ (-96.4¢ in 15 min)

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±49.7¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 4¢ (-94.5¢ in 15 min)

    5h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?"?

The market currently prices YES at 98¢ and NO at 2¢, an implied probability of 98% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$148K has been traded in total, $4K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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