Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? live odds

2%

implied probability

YES NO 98¢

recent price

-37¢ over the window

-37¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$27K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±5.3¢ swing band

    40m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.4¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.5¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±31.4¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    39¢ → 2¢ (-36.9¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±5.5¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    46¢ → 34¢ (-12¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±16.9¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • Odds swing

    44¢ → 36¢ (-8.2¢ in 15 min)

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.1¢ swing band

    4h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?"?

The market currently prices YES at 2¢ and NO at 98¢, an implied probability of 2% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$27K has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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