Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? live odds

"Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢. $10K has changed hands so far, $128 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

3%

implied probability

YES NO 97¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$128

24h volume

$10K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    63¢ → 2¢ (-61.4¢ in 15 min)

    54m ago
  • Odds swing

    43¢ → 3¢ (-40.1¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    51¢ → 4¢ (-47.3¢ in 15 min)

    4h ago
  • conviction signal

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.6¢ swing band

    7h ago
  • High volatility

    ±35.4¢ swing band

    7h ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 99¢ (+98.2¢ in 15 min)

    7h ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.5¢ swing band

    9h ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 63¢ (+60¢ in 15 min)

    9h ago
  • Odds swing

    63¢ → 3¢ (-60.1¢ in 15 min)

    10h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢, an implied probability of 3% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$10K has been traded in total, $128 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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