Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? live odds

88%

implied probability

YES 88¢NO 12¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

$241

24h volume

$7K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±18.1¢ swing band

    9m ago
  • Odds swing

    2¢ → 65¢ (+63¢ in 15 min)

    9m ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.25¢ vs 0.0799¢ normal

    25m ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.9¢ swing band

    26m ago
  • Odds swing

    77¢ → 2¢ (-75¢ in 15 min)

    26m ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.24¢ vs 0.0715¢ normal

    30m ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.25¢ vs 0.0621¢ normal

    35m ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.27¢ vs 0.0511¢ normal

    41m ago
  • High volatility

    ±10.5¢ swing band

    44m ago
  • Odds swing

    2¢ → 77¢ (+74.5¢ in 15 min)

    44m ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 88¢ and NO at 12¢, an implied probability of 88% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$7K has been traded in total, $241 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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