
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? — live odds
4%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$27K
24h volume
$236K
total volume
Aug 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 7m ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 4¢ (-8.8¢ in 15 min)
- 37m ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 14¢ (+9.1¢ in 15 min)
- 52m ago
High volatility
±24.8¢ swing band
- 52m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 100¢ (+99.4¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±28.1¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 100¢ (+97¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±27.9¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 100¢ (+96.8¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 3¢ (-97¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?"?
The market currently prices YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢, an implied probability of 4% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by August 1, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$236K has been traded in total, $27K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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