Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? — live odds
5%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$150
24h volume
$421K
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 5m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 4¢ (-95.7¢ in 15 min)
- 35m ago
High volatility
±48.7¢ swing band
- 35m ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 100¢ (+94.7¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±27.2¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 100¢ (+94.7¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±27.2¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 100¢ (+94.7¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±27.2¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 100¢ (+94.7¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±27.2¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 5¢ and NO at 95¢, an implied probability of 5% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$421K has been traded in total, $150 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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