Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? — live odds

Part of What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?· see all 22 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢. $276K has changed hands so far, $176 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 3¢NO 97¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$176

24h volume

$276K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±46.6¢ swing band
28m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 98¢ (+97.8¢ in 15 min)
28m ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 90¢ (+88¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 25¢ (+22.9¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±20.9¢ swing band
12h ago
Odds swing
63¢ → 6¢ (-57.2¢ in 15 min)
12h ago
High volatility
±38.7¢ swing band
14h ago
Odds swing
6¢ → 98¢ (+92.2¢ in 15 min)
14h ago
High volatility
±17.7¢ swing band
15h ago
High volatility
±8.6¢ swing band
16h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.