Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? — live odds

"Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?" is trading at a 39% implied probability, with YES at 39¢ and NO at 61¢. $80K has changed hands so far, $59K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 23, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

39%

implied probability

YES 39¢NO 61¢

recent price

-21¢ over the window

-21¢

24h change

$59K

24h volume

$80K

total volume

Oct 23, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?"?

The market currently prices YES at 39¢ and NO at 61¢, an implied probability of 39% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 23, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY.

How much has been traded on this market?

$80K has been traded in total, $59K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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