Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? live odds

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 51¢

recent price

+41¢ over the window

+41¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$11.9M

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±38.9¢ swing band

    30d ago
  • High volatility

    ±57.2¢ swing band

    30d ago
  • Odds swing

    4¢ → 18¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)

    30d ago
  • High volatility

    ±61.5¢ swing band

    30d ago
  • Odds swing

    95¢ → 5¢ (-90¢ in 15 min)

    30d ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.2¢ swing band

    30d ago
  • High volatility

    ±50.7¢ swing band

    31d ago
  • High volatility

    ±49.1¢ swing band

    31d ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 67¢ (+64¢ in 15 min)

    31d ago
  • High volatility

    ±58.6¢ swing band

    31d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. The resolution source for the return of Jesus will be a consensus of credible sources.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?"?

The market currently prices YES at 50¢ and NO at 51¢, an implied probability of 50% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$11.9M has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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