Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? — live odds

Part of Richest person on December 31, 2026?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-80¢ over the window

-80¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$58K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
7¢ → 30¢ (+22.6¢ in 15 min)
17d ago
conviction signal
17d ago
High volatility
±5¢ swing band
17d ago
conviction signal
27d ago
conviction signal
27d ago
Odds swing
9¢ → 24¢ (+15.5¢ in 15 min)
29d ago
High volatility
±39.4¢ swing band
29d ago
High volatility
±17.9¢ swing band
30d ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 4¢ (-14.9¢ in 15 min)
30d ago
Odds swing
9¢ → 20¢ (+11.5¢ in 15 min)
30d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.