Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — live odds
0%
implied probability
recent price
-1¢ over the window
-1¢
24h change
$3K
24h volume
$669K
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 4d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.952 · edge: 0.038
- 12d ago
High volatility
±25.8¢ swing band
- 12d ago
Odds swing
91¢ → 1¢ (-90¢ in 15 min)
- 12d ago
High volatility
±17¢ swing band
- 12d ago
Odds swing
59¢ → 1¢ (-58.2¢ in 15 min)
- 12d ago
High volatility
±16.2¢ swing band
- 12d ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
- 18d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.967 · edge: 0.023
- 18d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.956 · edge: 0.034
- 21d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 15¢ (+13.2¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$669K has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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