Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? — live odds

Part of Richest person on December 31, 2026?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-5¢ over the window

-5¢

24h change

$71

24h volume

$85K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
3¢ → 30¢ (+26.7¢ in 15 min)
22d ago
High volatility
±9.5¢ swing band
23d ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 15¢ (+10.9¢ in 15 min)
23d ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 25¢ (+21.2¢ in 15 min)
23d ago
High volatility
±10.3¢ swing band
23d ago
High volatility
±42.5¢ swing band
25d ago
High volatility
±7.8¢ swing band
31d ago
Odds swing
7¢ → 97¢ (+90.5¢ in 15 min)
31d ago
High volatility
±27.8¢ swing band
31d ago
Odds swing
7¢ → 72¢ (+65¢ in 15 min)
31d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.