Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — final odds

This market has ended · July 31, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?" resolved on July 31, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $270K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$35K

24h volume

$270K

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±18.2¢ swing band
53d ago
High volatility
±15.5¢ swing band
53d ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 64¢ (+54¢ in 15 min)
53d ago
High volatility
±11.8¢ swing band
53d ago
High volatility
±17.5¢ swing band
53d ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 71¢ (+67.6¢ in 15 min)
53d ago
High volatility
±4.3¢ swing band
53d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 4¢ (-95.5¢ in 15 min)
53d ago
High volatility
±16.2¢ swing band
53d ago
Odds swing
64¢ → 100¢ (+35.5¢ in 15 min)
53d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

How did "Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?" resolve?

This market ended on July 31, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.