Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 14? — final odds

This market has ended · August 14, 2026Final price 5¢ YES — the market gave this a 5% implied probability.

"Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 14?" resolved on August 14, 2026 at a final price of 5¢ YES — a 5% implied probability — after $55K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 5¢NO 95¢

recent price

—

24h change

$27K

24h volume

$55K

total volume

Aug 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
100¢ → 10¢ (-89.9¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±62.3¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±66.4¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±22.3¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
83¢ → 1¢ (-82¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±6.1¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
4h ago
High volatility
±53.2¢ swing band
4h ago
High volatility
±37.4¢ swing band
5h ago
High volatility
±26.7¢ swing band
5h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 14?" resolve?

This market ended on August 14, 2026 with a final traded price of 5¢ YES (5% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 5¢ — an implied probability of 5%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.