Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 26? — live odds

"Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 26?" is trading at a 90% implied probability, with YES at 90¢ and NO at 10¢. $28K has changed hands so far, $15K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 26, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

90%

implied probability

YES 90¢NO 10¢

recent price

-4¢ over the window

-4¢

24h change

$15K

24h volume

$28K

total volume

Aug 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±23.3¢ swing band
14m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.383¢ vs 0.1205¢ normal
38m ago
High volatility
±28.9¢ swing band
46m ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 26¢ (+9.3¢ in 15 min)
46m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.403¢ vs 0.1105¢ normal
52m ago
High volatility
±19.2¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 84¢ (-10.8¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±17.4¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 40¢ (+39.6¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±17.6¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.