Polymarket Daily Radar — Oct 29: $60K Fed Hike Whale

PolyWatch2 min readdaily-radar

TL;DR

  • 🐋 $60K whale buy impacts Fed rate hike odds
  • Bitcoin $78K dip odds fall 49.5¢
  • Fed rate decrease market spikes 23.8x volume

📈 The big moves

Market Move Now 24h volume
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1? ▼ 49.5¢ 32¢ (32%) —
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? ▼ 45.2¢ 35¢ (35%) —
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? ▼ 43.0¢ 23¢ (23%) —
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? ▲ 39.0¢ 80¢ (80%) —
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1? ▼ 38.5¢ 33¢ (33%) —

The market predicting Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1? experienced the most significant shift, with odds of a Bitcoin dip to $78,000 decreasing by 49.5¢. For insights on reading these market signals, consider our how to read Polymarket guide.

🐋 Whale watch

A notable $60000K BUY order landed in the market, Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?, impacting the price by 99.8¢. The trade was followed by a corresponding price move. Learn more about such large orders in our whale watching guide.

📊 Volume spikes

Market Volume vs average
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? $4000 23.8×

Volume activity remained elevated in finance markets. You can follow broader trends in Fed and macro odds.

For those tracking personalities, related markets are summarized on our Elon Musk tweet count tracker.

🗓️ Resolving soon

Markets resolving in the next 48 hours include Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs (volume $1769.8K), Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? (volume $302.7K), and LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage (volume $289.7K).


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