
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? — live odds
18%
implied probability
recent price
-2¢ over the window
-2¢
24h change
$15
24h volume
$239K
total volume
Jan 1, 2028
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 8m ago
High volatility
±36.8¢ swing band
- 23m ago
High volatility
±23.2¢ swing band
- 9h ago
High volatility
±53.6¢ swing band
- 9h ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 2¢ (-17¢ in 15 min)
- 9h ago
High volatility
±27.9¢ swing band
- 9h ago
High volatility
±26.4¢ swing band
- 9h ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 98¢ (+48¢ in 15 min)
- 10h ago
High volatility
±23.7¢ swing band
- 15h ago
High volatility
±19¢ swing band
- 15h ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 50¢ (+31¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?"?
The market currently prices YES at 18¢ and NO at 82¢, an implied probability of 18% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.
How much has been traded on this market?
$239K has been traded in total, $15 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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