TL;DR
- 🐋 $29K whale sell impacts US-Iran invasion market, price drops 79¢
- Kamala Harris 2028 nomination odds drop 46.5¢
- Bitcoin $90K November market sees 88x volume spike
📈 The big moves
| Market | Move | Now | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | ▼ -46.5¢ | 5.55¢ (5.55%) | — |
| Counter-Strike: Balkan Outlaws vs ex-ENCE (BO3) | ▼ -32.5¢ | 22.5¢ (22.5%) | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | ▼ -31.5¢ | 6.5¢ (6.5%) | — |
| Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel | ▲ +31.4¢ | 55.65¢ (55.65%) | — |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? | ▼ -29.0¢ | 26¢ (26%) | — |
Kamala Harris's odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination saw a significant reprice, dropping 46.5¢ to settle at 5.55¢. This move reflects a notable shift in market sentiment within election betting odds. Meanwhile, the long-dated market on Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? also fell, repricing down by 31.5¢ to a 6.5% implied probability. Understanding these market dynamics can be aided by our how to read Polymarket like a pro guide.
🐋 Whale watch
A single wallet executed a substantial SELL of $29,371.45 in the Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? market. This trade correlated with a significant 79¢ drop in the market price, indicating that liquidity absorbed the move rather than immediately pushing it higher. This type of activity is precisely what PolyWatch tracks. Learn more about such trades in our whale watching guide.
📊 Volume spikes
Several markets saw notable volume spikes, often signaling increased interest or new information being priced in. The market for Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? experienced an 88.4x increase over its average daily volume, with $1,100 traded. Similarly, Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? saw a 77.7x multiplier on $219.1 in volume, and Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9? spiked 55.7x with $1,529.48 traded.
🗓️ Resolving soon
Several markets are set to resolve in the next 48 hours. These include Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) with over $399K total volume, and two NFL markets: Spread: Bills (-3.5) and Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5. The Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? market also closes soon. Additionally, the Elon Musk tweet count tracker for November 3-10 resolves tomorrow.
PolyWatch pushes whale trades like these the moment they land — free on iOS and Android.
