Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? — live odds

Part of Anthropic IPO by __?· see all 5 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 89% implied probability, with YES at 89¢ and NO at 11¢. $432K has changed hands so far, $15K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by July 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this finance market in real time.

89%

implied probability

YES 89¢NO 11¢

recent price

+8¢ over the window

+8¢

24h change

$15K

24h volume

$432K

total volume

Jul 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±38.4¢ swing band
20d ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 26¢ (-34¢ in 15 min)
20d ago
High volatility
±7.8¢ swing band
20d ago
Odds swing
36¢ → 93¢ (+57¢ in 15 min)
20d ago
High volatility
±11.1¢ swing band
20d ago
High volatility
±56.7¢ swing band
53d ago
Odds swing
28¢ → 72¢ (+44¢ in 15 min)
53d ago
High volatility
±56.7¢ swing band
53d ago
High volatility
±29.6¢ swing band
53d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.