Event odds table
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? — live odds
5 outcomes$1.0M traded$381 · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
1between 14 and 16
46%46¢ · $20 24h2between 17 and 19
31%31¢ · — 24h3between 11 and 13
17%17¢ · — 24h420 or more
10%10¢ · — 24h5between 8 and 10
1%1¢ · $361 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026??
- The market currently favors "Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?" at 46% implied probability (YES trading at 46¢).
- How much has been traded on How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026??
- $1.0M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $381 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
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