Event odds table

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? — live odds

4 outcomes$887K traded$17 · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? odds: between 14 and 16 leads the field at 45% implied probability, ahead of between 17 and 19 (36%) and between 11 and 13 (8%). All 4 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $887K traded ($17 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

between 14 and 16 45%

implied probability (45¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 4

Full market details →

About this event

Which outcome is favored for How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026??
The market currently favors between 14 and 16 at 45% implied probability (YES trading at 45¢).
How much has been traded on How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026??
$887K has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $17 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?
The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

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