Which outcome is favored for Next French Presidential Election?

The market currently favors Marine Le Pen at 35% implied probability (YES trading at 35¢).

How much has been traded on Next French Presidential Election?

$126.0M has been traded across 41 outcome markets, $744K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by April 30, 2027.

Event odds table

Next French Presidential Election — live odds

41 outcomes$126.0M traded$744K · 24hresolves by April 30, 2027

Live Next French Presidential Election odds: Marine Le Pen leads the field at 35% implied probability, ahead of Édouard Philippe (29%) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (14%). All 41 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $126.0M traded ($744K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by April 30, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Marine Le Pen 35%

implied probability (35¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 41

Full market details →

1Marine Le Pen

35%35¢ · $12K 24h 2Édouard Philippe

29%29¢ · $20K 24h 3Jean-Luc Mélenchon

14%14¢ · $14K 24h 4François Hollande

4%3¢ · $6K 24h 5Gabriel Attal

3%3¢ · $16K 24h 6David Lisnard

3%2¢ · $13K 24h 7Jordan Bardella

2%2¢ · $15K 24h 8Raphaël Glucksmann

2%2¢ · $25K 24h 9Bruno Retailleau

2%2¢ · $11K 24h 10Dominique de Villepin

2%1¢ · $13K 24h 11Sarah Knafo

1%1¢ · $43K 24h 12Sébastien Lecornu

1%1¢ · $14K 24h 13Éric Zemmour

1%1¢ · $14K 24h 14Olivier Faure

0%0¢ · $119K 24h 15Jean Castex

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 16Ségolène Royal

0%0¢ · $13K 24h 17François Asselineau

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 18Mathilde Panot

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 19François Bayrou

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 20Xavier Bertrand

0%0¢ · $26K 24h 21Yaël Braun-Pivet

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 22Élisabeth Borne

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 23Michel Barnier

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 24Clémentine Autain

0%0¢ · $29K 24h 25Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 26Fabien Roussel

0%0¢ · $19K 24h 27Clémence Guetté

0%0¢ · $13K 24h 28Valérie Pécresse

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 29Laurent Wauquiez

0%0¢ · $13K 24h 30François Ruffin

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 31Bernard Cazeneuve

0%0¢ · $16K 24h 32Juan Branco

0%0¢ · $340 24h 33Gérald Darmanin

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 34Yannick Jadot

0%0¢ · $13K 24h 35François Baroin

0%0¢ · $20K 24h 36Marion Maréchal

0%0¢ · $13K 24h 37Karim Bouamrane

0%0¢ · $19K 24h 38Lucie Castets

0%0¢ · $13K 24h 39Manuel Bompard

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 40Carole Delga

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 41Marine Tondelier

0%0¢ · $20K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Next French Presidential Election?: The market currently favors Marine Le Pen at 35% implied probability (YES trading at 35¢).
How much has been traded on Next French Presidential Election?: $126.0M has been traded across 41 outcome markets, $744K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by April 30, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

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