Which outcome is favored for Next French Presidential Election?

The market currently favors Marine Le Pen at 47% implied probability (YES trading at 47¢).

How much has been traded on Next French Presidential Election?

$153.9M has been traded across 43 outcome markets, $718K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by April 19, 2027.

Event odds table

Next French Presidential Election — live odds

43 outcomes$153.9M traded$718K · 24hresolves by April 19, 2027

Live Next French Presidential Election odds: Marine Le Pen leads the field at 47% implied probability, ahead of Édouard Philippe (19%) and David Lisnard (12%). All 43 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $153.9M traded ($718K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by April 19, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Marine Le Pen 47%

implied probability (47¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 43

Full market details →

1Marine Le Pen

47%47¢ · $62K 24h 2Édouard Philippe

19%19¢ · $73K 24h 3David Lisnard

12%12¢ · $56K 24h 4Jean-Luc Mélenchon

11%11¢ · $75K 24h 5Raphaël Glucksmann

5%5¢ · $141K 24h 6François Hollande

2%2¢ · $28K 24h 7Gabriel Attal

1%1¢ · $18K 24h 8Sarah Knafo

1%1¢ · $28K 24h 9Éric Zemmour

1%1¢ · $49K 24h 10Bruno Retailleau

1%1¢ · $17K 24h 11Christine Lagarde

1%1¢ · $32K 24h 12Jordan Bardella

1%1¢ · $31K 24h 13Dominique de Villepin

1%1¢ · $17K 24h 14Sébastien Lecornu

0%0¢ · $23K 24h 15Ségolène Royal

0%0¢ · — 24h 16François Asselineau

0%0¢ · — 24h 17Xavier Bertrand

0%0¢ · $37K 24h 18François Ruffin

0%0¢ · $4K 24h 19Marine Tondelier

0%0¢ · $4 24h 20Jean Castex

0%0¢ · — 24h 21Karim Bouamrane

0%0¢ · — 24h 22Olivier Faure

0%0¢ · — 24h 23Mathilde Panot

0%0¢ · — 24h 24François Bayrou

0%0¢ · — 24h 25Yaël Braun-Pivet

0%0¢ · — 24h 26Élisabeth Borne

0%0¢ · — 24h 27Michel Barnier

0%0¢ · — 24h 28Manuel Bompard

0%0¢ · — 24h 29Clémentine Autain

0%0¢ · — 24h 30Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

0%0¢ · — 24h 31Carole Delga

0%0¢ · — 24h 32Fabien Roussel

0%0¢ · — 24h 33Clémence Guetté

0%0¢ · — 24h 34Valérie Pécresse

0%0¢ · — 24h 35Laurent Wauquiez

0%0¢ · — 24h 36Bernard Cazeneuve

0%0¢ · — 24h 37Juan Branco

0%0¢ · — 24h 38Gérald Darmanin

0%0¢ · — 24h 39François Baroin

0%0¢ · $3 24h 40Yannick Jadot

0%0¢ · — 24h 41Marion Maréchal

0%0¢ · — 24h 42Lucie Castets

0%0¢ · — 24h 43Natacha Polony

—— · $26K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Next French Presidential Election?: The market currently favors Marine Le Pen at 47% implied probability (YES trading at 47¢).
How much has been traded on Next French Presidential Election?: $153.9M has been traded across 43 outcome markets, $718K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by April 19, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

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