Event odds table
Presidential Election Winner 2028 — live odds
52 outcomes$701.4M traded$434K · 24hresolves by November 7, 2028
Live Presidential Election Winner 2028 odds: JD Vance leads the field at 24% implied probability, ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (13%) and Jon Ossoff (12%). All 52 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $701.4M traded ($434K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 7, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
JD Vance 24%
implied probability (24¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 52
1JD Vance
24%24¢ · $126K 24h2Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%13¢ · $15K 24h3Jon Ossoff
12%11¢ · $2K 24h4Marco Rubio
10%10¢ · $1K 24h5Gavin Newsom
9%9¢ · $5K 24h6Josh Shapiro
3%3¢ · $6K 24h7Kamala Harris
3%3¢ · $14K 24h8Donald Trump
3%2¢ · $5K 24h9Pete Buttigieg
2%2¢ · $1K 24h10Mark Kelly
2%2¢ · $295 24h11Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%1¢ · $4K 24h12Ron DeSantis
1%1¢ · $16 24h13Tucker Carlson
1%1¢ · $10K 24h14Andy Beshear
1%1¢ · $234 24h15Ro Khanna
1%1¢ · $357 24h16Greg Abbott
1%1¢ · $16K 24h17Wes Moore
1%1¢ · $530 24h18Thomas Massie
1%1¢ · $14K 24h19Donald Trump Jr.
1%1¢ · $204 24h20Jamie Dimon
1%1¢ · $776 24h21James Talarico
1%1¢ · $7K 24h22Ivanka Trump
0%0¢ · $688 24h23Gretchen Whitmer
0%0¢ · $767 24h24JB Pritzker
0%0¢ · $48 24h25Michelle Obama
0%0¢ · $2K 24h26LeBron James
0%0¢ · $1K 24h27Glenn Youngkin
0%0¢ · $130K 24h28Tim Walz
0%0¢ · $7K 24h29Kim Kardashian
0%0¢ · $8K 24h30Vivek Ramaswamy
0%0¢ · $3K 24h31Tulsi Gabbard
0%0¢ · $1K 24h32Stephen Smith
0%0¢ · $1K 24h33Nikki Haley
0%0¢ · $6K 24h34Elon Musk
0%0¢ · $20K 24h35Zohran Mamdani
0%0¢ · $1K 24h36Tom Cotton
0%0¢ · $6K 24h37Adam Schiff
0%0¢ · $2K 24h38Raphael Warnock
0%0¢ · $6K 24h39Elissa Slotkin
0%0¢ · $1K 24h40Eric Trump
0%0¢ · $213 24h41Pete Hegseth
0%0¢ · $7K 24h42Jalen Brunson
0%0¢ · $282 24h43Josh Stein
0%0¢ · $3 24h44Alex Padilla
0%0¢ · $3 24h45Candace Owens
0%0¢ · $3 24h46Rick Scott
0%0¢ · $57 24h47Doug Burgum
0%0¢ · $5 24h48Tim Scott
0%0¢ · $3 24h49John N. Kennedy
0%0¢ · $78 24h50Mike Johnson
0%0¢ · $3 24h51Abigail Spanberger
0%0¢ · $3 24h52Hakeem Jeffries
0%0¢ · $3 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Presidential Election Winner 2028?
- The market currently favors JD Vance at 24% implied probability (YES trading at 24¢).
- How much has been traded on Presidential Election Winner 2028?
- $701.4M has been traded across 52 outcome markets, $434K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.
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