Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — live odds
1%
implied probability
recent price
-79¢ over the window
-79¢
24h change
$16K
24h volume
$6.5M
total volume
Nov 7, 2028
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 31d ago
High volatility
±18.3¢ swing band
- 31d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 41¢ (+40.1¢ in 15 min)
- 31d ago
High volatility
±9.6¢ swing band
- 31d ago
High volatility
±20.4¢ swing band
- 31d ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 50¢ (-30¢ in 15 min)
- 31d ago
High volatility
±11.7¢ swing band
- 31d ago
Odds swing
31¢ → 13¢ (-17.8¢ in 15 min)
- 31d ago
High volatility
±24.4¢ swing band
- 31d ago
Odds swing
41¢ → 1¢ (-40.1¢ in 15 min)
- 31d ago
Volume spike
$39 traded — 18355.1× the average
How this market resolves
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.
How much has been traded on this market?
$6.5M has been traded in total, $16K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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