Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — live odds

Part of Presidential Election Winner 2028· see all 52 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $7.1M has changed hands so far, $42K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-89¢ over the window

-89¢

24h change

$42K

24h volume

$7.1M

total volume

Nov 7, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±18.3¢ swing band
76d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 41¢ (+40.1¢ in 15 min)
76d ago
High volatility
±9.6¢ swing band
76d ago
High volatility
±20.4¢ swing band
76d ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 50¢ (-30¢ in 15 min)
76d ago
High volatility
±11.7¢ swing band
76d ago
Odds swing
31¢ → 13¢ (-17.8¢ in 15 min)
76d ago
High volatility
±24.4¢ swing band
76d ago
Odds swing
41¢ → 1¢ (-40.1¢ in 15 min)
76d ago
Volume spike
$39 traded — 18355.1× the average
76d ago

How this market resolves

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.