Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — live odds

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"Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $825K has changed hands so far, $154K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-83¢ over the window

-83¢

24h change

$154K

24h volume

$825K

total volume

Nov 7, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.