Event odds table

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? — live odds
12 outcomes$1.8M traded$11K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027
Live Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? odds: Somaliland leads the field at 12% implied probability, ahead of Kuwait (7%) and Syria (6%). All 12 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.8M traded ($11K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Somaliland 12%
implied probability (12¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 12
1Somaliland
12%12¢ · $5K 24h2Kuwait
7%7¢ · $63 24h3Syria
6%6¢ · $1K 24h4Saudi Arabia
6%6¢ · $2K 24h5Oman
5%5¢ · $3K 24h6Lebanon
5%5¢ · $26 24h7Turkey
4%4¢ · $20 24h8Azerbaijan
4%4¢ · $20 24h9Jordan
—— · $279 24h10Pakistan
—— · — 24h11Qatar
—— · $10 24h12Egypt
—— · $15 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??
- The market currently favors Somaliland at 12% implied probability (YES trading at 12¢).
- How much has been traded on Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??
- $1.8M has been traded across 12 outcome markets, $11K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.