Which outcome is favored for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??

The market currently favors Lebanon at 9% implied probability (YES trading at 9¢).

How much has been traded on Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??

$1.6M has been traded across 12 outcome markets, $269 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? — live odds

12 outcomes$1.6M traded$269 · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? odds: Lebanon leads the field at 9% implied probability, ahead of Somaliland (8%) and Syria (7%). All 12 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($269 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Lebanon 9%

implied probability (9¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 12

Full market details →

1Lebanon

9%9¢ · — 24h 2Somaliland

8%8¢ · — 24h 3Syria

7%7¢ · — 24h 4Saudi Arabia

7%7¢ · $29 24h 5Kuwait

6%6¢ · — 24h 6Azerbaijan

5%5¢ · $240 24h 7Oman

5%5¢ · — 24h 8Turkey

3%3¢ · — 24h 9Jordan

—— · — 24h 10Pakistan

—— · — 24h 11Qatar

—— · — 24h 12Egypt

—— · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??: The market currently favors Lebanon at 9% implied probability (YES trading at 9¢).
How much has been traded on Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??: $1.6M has been traded across 12 outcome markets, $269 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 12 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.