Event odds table
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? — live odds
10 outcomes$1.5M traded$774 · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
Live Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? odds: Somaliland leads the field at 23% implied probability, ahead of Lebanon (10%) and Syria (9%). All 10 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.5M traded ($774 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Somaliland 23%
implied probability (23¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 10
1Somaliland
23%23¢ · — 24h2Lebanon
10%10¢ · $3 24h3Syria
9%9¢ · $36 24h4Azerbaijan
8%8¢ · — 24h5Saudi Arabia
8%8¢ · $601 24h6Kuwait
7%7¢ · $100 24h7Turkey
6%6¢ · — 24h8Oman
5%5¢ · $34 24h9Pakistan
—— · — 24h10Jordan
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??
- The market currently favors "Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?" at 23% implied probability (YES trading at 23¢).
- How much has been traded on Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??
- $1.5M has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $774 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
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