Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 4, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?" resolved NO on August 4, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $27K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-34¢ over the window

-34¢

24h change

$23K

24h volume

$27K

total volume

Aug 4, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.936 · edge: 0.054
2d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Quick answers

How did "Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 4, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.