Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? — final odds
"Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?" resolved NO on November 4, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $72K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-1¢ over the window
-1¢
24h change
$625
24h volume
$72K
total volume
Nov 4, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf
Quick answers
How did "Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on November 4, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$72K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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