LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? final odds

Resolved YES · September 10, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?" resolved YES on September 10, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $80K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO

recent price

24h change

$69K

24h volume

$80K

total volume

Sep 10, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an airdrop of LAPTOP tokens is performed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. An airdrop qualifies if LAPTOP tokens are distributed to, or made claimable by, eligible third-party wallets free of charge; a distribution limited to a specific community, such as holders of the TRUMP token, will qualify. Allocations to founders, team members, or other insiders will not qualify as an airdrop. For the purposes of this market, "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs or of tokens other than LAPTOP will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hunter Biden or the LAPTOP token's official channels, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Quick answers

How did "LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on September 10, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$80K was traded over the market's lifetime.

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