Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? — final odds

Resolved NO · July 31, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" resolved NO on July 31, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $109K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$109K

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 31, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.