Netanyahu out by end of 2026? — live odds

Part of Netanyahu out by...?· see all 2 outcomes →📲 Open in app

40%

implied probability

YES 40¢NO 61¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$19K

24h volume

$1.9M

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±33¢ swing band
32d ago
Odds swing
25¢ → 85¢ (+60¢ in 15 min)
32d ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 18¢ (-67¢ in 15 min)
32d ago
High volatility
±29.3¢ swing band
32d ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 97¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)
32d ago
High volatility
±8.4¢ swing band
32d ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 28¢ (+24¢ in 15 min)
32d ago
High volatility
±53.5¢ swing band
32d ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 60¢ (-25¢ in 15 min)
32d ago
High volatility
±70.4¢ swing band
32d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.