Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? live odds

4%

implied probability

YES NO 96¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$237K

total volume

Sep 30, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢, an implied probability of 4% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 30, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$237K has been traded in total, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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